The City-County Planning Department calculates an overall population projection for all of the City of Durham and Durham County. The population of Durham County encompasses all individuals residing within Durham County limits, including the City of Durham. The City of Durham population includes all individuals residing within the City of Durham, including portions of the City that extend into Wake County and Orange County.
The City-County Planning Department is currently only tracking overall population estimates. These projections are based on the data available and do not represent the precise population of the City of Durham and Durham County until the next Census is released. For a more detailed filtering of various demographics by location, please use the US Census for Durham County.
Current Population Estimate
As of October 1, 2022, the City-County Planning Department estimates the following total populations:
City of Durham
Data and Methodology
Populations are estimated using local development permits completed in the City and County since the most recent Census on April 1, 2020. New and demolished dwelling units, after July 1, 2020, are totaled then multiplied by average Persons Per Household (PPH) and by a current Occupancy Rate (OR). Both the PPH and the OR are determined from the American Community Survey (ACS) when the population estimate was calculated.
Data Formula Total New Dwelling Units for each Administrative Boundary (after July 1, 2020) x Current PPH x Current OR = Current Estimated Population
All Permit Data (GIS Shapefile) - See attribute table column labeled DWELLING_UNITS. When calculating demolitions, all values must be converted to a negative value.
Census ACS - Vacancy Rate - The occupancy rate is an inverse of the current regional vacancy rate reported by the US Census. For example, if the vacancy rate is 5%, then the current occupancy rate will be 95% or 0.95.